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Slot Study. MGM vs FB vs RW.

Discussion in 'Slot Machines' started by Grid!, Mar 12, 2026.

  1. Grid!

    Grid! Platinum

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    If anyone else likes to nerd out over slot math, I put this together just to see what my gut felt. I pitted Resorts World VS Fontainebleau VS all the MGM joints in Vegas against each other. I stopped played with Caesars years ago. As I just couldn't win anything. MGM beat them out long ago as my GoTo for Vegas trips. I played with Treasure Island as well, and did great! Until I had a bad host and I abandoned ship there.

    I went through the past 4 years of my Win/Loss ledgers for each club. I looked back on all my recent trips, over the past 4 years. I counted out each and every slot hit I had worth $100 or more.

    The North Strip is where you want to play in Vegas. Anecdotal? Maybe. You cant tell long term holds over such a small sampling. But that still doesn't make any of my results less true. Your millage may vary. But this represents literally tens of thousands of spins over dozens and dozens of hours playing. With hundreds of Thousands of Dollars being played through. I play the same games, the same way no matter where I stay.

    Across all three properties. I averaged about 9 slot hits worth $100-$199 each per night. All things considered, it is a push. I averaged about 5 slot hits worth $200-$399 per night at MGM and Resorts World. But 7 per at Fontainebleau. Which ran almost 50% better.

    But here is where it gets interesting. For the bigger hits, MGM ran cold as ice. Even though I spent 3 more nights playing with them versus the other two.

    For hits worth $400-$599, I got one every other night with MGM. Nearly 2 per with RW. And just over 1 per at FB.

    For hits worth $600-$799, I got one every 5 nights with MGM. 1 every other night with RW. And almost 1 per at FB.

    For hits worth $800-$999, I got just one over 11 nights with MGM. Just 1 over 8 nights with RW. And an insane 5 over 8 nights at FB.

    MGM had 1 hit worth $1K or more in 11 tries

    RW had 6 hits worth $1K or more in just 8 tries

    FB had 5 hits worth $1K or more in just 8 tries

    Full breakdown on my site.

    https://sites.google.com/site/lvgrid/the-math-of-winning-mgm-vs-fb-vs-rw
     
    NickPappageorgio, Elf70 and JohnnyR like this.
  2. NickPappageorgio

    NickPappageorgio ¿Quién vigila a los vigilantes?
    VIP Pledge Member Founding Fanatic 2018 March Madness Winner

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    Agreed that this is too small a sample size for long-term, but it is a pretty good real life look at what most Vegas regulars might experience over a length of time. I've seen your coin in on your various reports so this does represent a fairly solid subset of spins.

    One thing not mentioned here, and I'm curious, is volatility. I know you have some "go-to" slots that you like to play that seem to me to be more on the medium/low volatility scale. Of the big hits that you had, were many of them on higher volatility slots or were they on your go-to's?
     
    Grid! likes this.
  3. Grid!

    Grid! Platinum

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    Great question Nick! Thanks for engaging.

    Most all of those big wins were $1 Denon Max Bet ($5.00-$9.00) slots. And most of those, being mechanical and not video. A few outliners, like $6.00+ bets on nickel denom video. And one $.25 denom max bet (Also $6.00+) video.

    Only a handful of them I would say had higher volatility, with top jackpot of $100K+. But even those were dollar mechanical. Just themed, like Monopoly or Hot Stuff. The rest had "normal" max jackpots of $5K-$10K range.

    I like to grind, and avoid the Megabucks Wheel of Fortune type slots for the most part.The old adage of, luck can strike anyone anywhere. Like the $7500 hit I had on Monopoly at Bellagio. Where as MGM casinos had far fewer big hits in this test. Shows the adage to be true. But by and large, in my sample set. The lower volatility higher denom slots on the North Strip overwhelming performed the best of the past few years.
     
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  4. WickedWins

    WickedWins Silver

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    Is your bet size the same?
    I've been experimenting with larger bets ($4-8) and been hitting way more jackpots.. yes, bet more get more.. but was I getting half the wins at half the bets? No way.
     
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